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		<title>Fuel, Oil, Alternatives</title>
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		<pubDate>Fri, 19 Jun 2009 20:12:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>billspaced</dc:creator>
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In case you hadn&#8217;t noticed, gas prices are rising again. (Is it the dreaded &#8220;Father&#8217;s Day weekend?&#8221;) In my neck of the woods, the price of regular-grade gasoline is hovering right around $3. Here are some miscellaneous ramblings about gas, oil, alternative energy, and what I believe the only answer to our long-term energy needs [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In case you hadn&#8217;t noticed, gas prices are rising again. (Is it the dreaded &#8220;Father&#8217;s Day weekend?&#8221;) In my neck of the woods, the price of regular-grade gasoline is hovering right around $3. Here are some miscellaneous ramblings about gas, oil, alternative energy, and what I believe the only answer to our long-term energy needs (find out what I think that is below).</p>
<p>When I was a kid, my grandparent, with whom my mom and I lived, owned a gas station. Back then, they were called &#8220;service stations.&#8221; For 27 cents a gallon, you got your windows washed, your tires checked and even filled, your oil checked, other under-the-hood fluids checked and topped off&#8230;</p>
<p><em>Service</em> was emphasized then. Gasoline (with lead!) was almost an after thought. Oh, it was &#8220;full service&#8221; too. You didn&#8217;t even have to get out of your car. And when you were ready to pay? The service station attendant took your money, went into the office, got your change and a receipt, and returned to offer you a heart-felt &#8220;Good-bye.&#8221;</p>
<p>And get this: If you paid by credit card, the price was the same! And the attendant would bring out a little machine that would take an impression of your credit card, ask for your signature, tear out a copy for you, and then &#8212; you were done!</p>
<p>My, have things changed. But unlike a lot of things, my gut tells me that things have gotten worse. There is no such thing as &#8220;full service.&#8221; (Even in states like Oregon, where an employee of the gas station has to pump your gas.)</p>
<p>Did you catch my reference to the price of a gallon of gasoline? 27 cents! With a lot of labor behind it.</p>
<p>Today, you pump your own gas and pretty much carry out the entire transaction without any other humans intervening. You wash your windows. Maybe.</p>
<p>Check the oil? Huh? Dipstick? What?!</p>
<p>Then, 1973 happened. My grandparents sold the station and set off on a journey across the USA. They got to Arizona (they lived in Northern California). My grandmothers kidneys failed, they came back, and she spent the next 5 years of her life tied to a dialysis machine 3 days a week, 4 hours at a pop. With numerous trips to the hospital.</p>
<p>I grew up, literally, inside and around a hospital. My grandparents, who had amassed a good sum of money the &#8220;old-fashioned&#8221; way (by the sweat of their brow and VERY frugal spending habits born out of the Great Depression), blew through their entire life savings in less than a year.</p>
<ul>
<li>Hospitals can be expensive. Especially if you don&#8217;t have good insurance. They had Blue Cross, but it somehow still ate up all their money.</li>
</ul>
<p>Anyway, the oil embargo should have been a sign of things to come. OPEC was, and still is, too powerful and ought to be illegal. Cartels are illegal here, but we, as a country, allow it and even embrace it.</p>
<p>Anybody ever tell you that the US and you in particular don&#8217;t support terrorists&#8230;you&#8217;re in denial.</p>
<p>You, out of necessity, give money to entities that really don&#8217;t have your interests at heart. Know what I mean? But I digress.</p>
<p>Nearly 40 years ago, we should have come up with a game plan to untether ourselves from black gold (aka oil). But we didn&#8217;t. Oil and gas prices declined and we started buying big American cars again. The late 70s saw the same thing recur.</p>
<p>Then again in the 80s. Now, it&#8217;s not so much OPEC as it is overwhelming demand coupled with a supply that is ever-dwindling. By the way, mining in Alaska may help. By less than 1 percent. Do the math: Gas is $3. You&#8217;ll save 3 cents, max. At the expense of spoiling yet another pristine part of the world.</p>
<p>Rising demand + Declining supply = Rising prices forever (all other things being equal)</p>
<p>It&#8217;s this &#8220;all other things being equal&#8221; part that is intriguing. By the way, this is how economists take really complex marketplace issues and boil them down into neat, easily-digestible &#8220;models&#8221; that work on paper but almost never in practice.</p>
<p>We <span style="text-decoration: line-through;">can</span> must change the &#8220;all other things being equal&#8221; part. There are substitutes in the marketplace for fuel. They&#8217;re right before our eyes. (Solar, wind, water, natural gas)</p>
<p>In addition, we&#8217;re using 100-year-old technology in gasoline-powered automobiles. The underlying construction of the gasoline engine is exactly the same as when Henry Ford revolutionized the auto industry in the early 1900s. Nothing, really,  has changed.</p>
<p>Electric cars are <strong>far more &#8220;fuel-efficient&#8221; </strong>than gasoline-powered cars. After all, to charge your electric car battery, you have to plug it in to the power grid (a true solar-powered car most-likely will never occur, due to basic principles of physics &#8212; I cannot explain it here, but pick up a copy of <a title="Physics for Future Presidents" href="http://www.money-hacks.com/go/physics/" target="_blank">Physics for Future Presidents</a>).</p>
<p>Here&#8217;s a graphic illustrating the point:</p>
<p><a href="http://www.money-hacks.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/06/fuel-efficiency1.png"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-834" title="fuel-efficiency" src="http://www.money-hacks.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/06/fuel-efficiency1.png" alt="fuel-efficiency" width="614" height="316" /></a></p>
<p style="text-align: left;">As oil prices rise, so, too, does the disparity.</p>
<ul>
<li>Funny thing is, a lot of electricity we get comes from a very readily and plentiful energy source: Natural gas. America is sitting on a LOT of natural gas!</li>
</ul>
<p>Ultimately, of course, we get all of our energy from the sun, either directly or indirectly. But when somebody says, &#8220;solar,&#8221; what they mean is power <em>right now</em> from the sun. We immediately think of the solar panels that were put on rooftops in the 70s and 80s (mostly as tax write-offs &#8212; they never really worked).</p>
<p>Now, however, the technology exists to extract a greater percentage of the sun&#8217;s energy and convert it to electricity. The sticking points are always energy storage (aka batteries).</p>
<p>Battery technology and the complex electrical switching that must occur in order to make this uber-power a viable source has lagged behind the rest of the solar industry. But that&#8217;s changing.</p>
<p>Of course, there&#8217;s wind and water or hydro power that is available. If we could harness a small fraction of the earth&#8217;s wind power we could have all the electricity we ever needed. Or harness the incredible power of the &#8212; get this &#8212; <strong><em>lunar power!</em></strong></p>
<p>That&#8217;s right. The moon, which makes the tides, could be the source of our power! If only we could put giant turbines in the oceans&#8230;and reverse the power flow on opposite sides of the tides (generate power on rising <em>and </em>falling tides)&#8230;</p>
<p>I think we&#8217;re almost there, from a &#8220;can we do it&#8221; perspective. The rest is all political. Unfortunately, &#8220;the rest&#8221; is probably 90 percent of the problem; it&#8217;s most likely insurmountable.</p>
<p>Same goes for nuclear. It&#8217;s a phenomenal technology, considerably safer than it was in the 70s and 80s. But nobody here is willing to put a reactor in his backyard (NIMBY, or Not in My Back Yard).</p>
<p>So, I&#8217;ve said all that to say all this:</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><em><strong>We need a new perspective.</strong></em></p>
<p>What worked decades ago may not. Things change. So should we.</p>
<p>With <em>any </em>revolution, change doesn&#8217;t come in waves; rather, it comes slowly. It&#8217;s like the &#8220;Overnight Sensation&#8221; that took 20 years of blood, sweat, and tears to make it &#8220;over night.&#8221;</p>
<p>Problem is, we should have started taking the &#8220;baby steps&#8221; we needed to take several decades ago. I&#8217;m not going to suggest that &#8220;it&#8217;s too late,&#8221; but it is certainly disconcerting how we seem to have shown up to a party that dismantled years ago. The guest of honor has died, the cake is rancid, and the presents are all broken and used up.</p>
<p>Sorry, my &#8220;glass half-empty&#8221; persona sneaked out.</p>
<p>We can make this happen. I think we will &#8212; collectively &#8212; succeed. Our very survival depends on it.</p>
<p>Think about that for a moment.</p>
<p>If energy becomes truly in short-supply, wars bigger than all the wars put together will ensue (there&#8217;s &#8220;glass half-empty&#8221; again).</p>
<p>I hope we&#8217;re smarter than that. The alternative (making better choices now about how and where we get energy) is certainly a better option than kill or be killed.</p>
<p style="text-align: left;">And let&#8217;s not forget about <a title="Fusion" href="https://lasers.llnl.gov/" target="_blank">fusion</a>. We&#8217;re closer than ever. This supplants use of the sun for making our own. Sounds a little far-fetched, but we really are smart enough as a species to figure this out.</p>

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